Democratic regression and the rise of electoral illiberalism in Indonesia: A multi-dimensional analysis (1998-2024)

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.21831/jc.v23i1.94824

Keywords:

democratic regression, electoral, political democracy, reformation

Abstract

Since the political transition of 1998, Indonesia has been widely regarded as a leading case of democratic consolidation in Southeast Asia. However, recent empirical indicators reveal a persistent decline in civil liberties, political pluralism, and institutional accountability. This article examines whether Indonesia is experiencing democratic regression and investigates the emergence of electoral illiberalism as a durable regime trajectory rather than a temporary fluctuation. Methodologically, this study employs qualitative thematic-narrative analysis, triangulating constitutional amendments, electoral laws, Constitutional Court decisions, and executive regulations with international democracy indices, including the Economist Intelligence Unit and Freedom House, from 1998 to 2024. This approach enables a longitudinal assessment of institutional and normative transformations across key democratic dimensions. The findings demonstrate that democratic regression in Indonesia is not marked by the collapse of electoral competition, but by the weakening of horizontal accountability, erosion of the rule of law through systemic corruption, contraction of civic space, and strategic mobilization of majoritarian identity politics. These dynamics reveal how electoral continuity coexists with substantive democratic erosion. This article contributes to debates on democratic backsliding by showing that Indonesia’s trajectory has consolidated into electoral illiberalism, challenging linear models of democratic consolidation and highlighting the limits of electoral democracy.

References

Aspinall, E. (2005). Elections and the normalization of politics in Indonesia. South East Asia Research, 13(2), 117–156. https://doi.org/10.5367/0000000054604515

Aspinall, E. (2015). The surprising democratic behemoth: Indonesia in comparative Asian perspective. The Journal of Asian Studies Vol, 74(4), 889–902. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021911815001138

Aspinall, E., & Fealy, G. (Eds.). (2010). Soeharto’s New Order and its legacy: Essays in honour of Harold Crouch. ANU E Press.

Aspinall, E., & Mietzner, M. (2019). Southeast Asia’s troubling elections: Nondemocratic pluralism in Indonesia. Journal of Democracy, 30(4), 104–118. https://doi.org/10.1353/jod.2019.0055

Barus, S. I. (2017). Proses perubahan mendasar konstitusi Indonesia pra dan pasca amandemen. University Of Bengkulu Law Journal, 2(1), 29–55. https://doi.org/10.33369/ubelaj.2.1.29-55

Bhakti, I. N. (2002). The transition to democracy in Indonesia: Some outstanding problems. Transition Towards Democracy in Indonesia, 195–206. https://apcss.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/PDFs/Edited%20Volumes/RegionalFinal%20chapters/Chapter12Bhakti.pdf

Boix, C., Miller, M., & Rosato, S. (2013). A complete data set of political regimes, 1800-2007. Comparative Political Studies, 46(12), 1523–1554. https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414012463905/SUPPL_FILE/DEMOCRACY.DTA

Bourchier, D. M. (2019). Two decades of ideological contestation in Indonesia: From democratic cosmopolitanism to religious nationalism. Journal of Contemporary Asia. https://doi.org/10.1080/00472336.2019.1590620

Coppedge, M., Gerring, J., Altman, D., Bernhard, M., Fish, S., Hicken, A., Kroenig, M., Lindberg, S. I., McMann, K., Paxton, P., Semetko, H. A., Skaaning, S.-E., Staton, J., & Teorell, J. (2011). Conceptualizing and measuring democracy: A new approach. Perspectives on Politics, 9(2), 247–267. https://doi.org/DOI: 10.1017/S1537592711000880  

Creswell, J. D. (2018). Research design: Qualitative, quantitative, and mixed methods approaches. SAGE Publications, Inc.

Dacombe, R., & Parvin, P. (2021). Participatory democracy in an age of inequality. Representation, 57(2), 145–157. https://doi.org/10.1080/00344893.2021.1933151

Dahl, R. A. (1971). Democratisation and public opposition. In Polyarchy: participation and opposition.

Diamond, L. (2023). Developing democracy. In Developing Democracy. Johns Hopkins University Press. https://doi.org/10.56021/9780801860140

Dryzek, J. S. (2002). Deliberative democracy and beyond. Oxford University PressOxford. https://doi.org/10.1093/019925043X.001.0001

Economist Intelligence. (2023). Democracy Index 2022: Frontline democracy and the battle for Ukraine. Economist Intelligence. www.eiu.com.

Freedom House. (2023). Indonesia: Freedom in the World 2022 Country Report | Freedom House. https://freedomhouse.org/country/indonesia/freedom-world/2022

Freedom in the World 2023. (2023).

Fuchs, D., & Roller, E. (2018). Conceptualizing and measuring the quality of democracy: The citizens’ perspective. Politics and Governance, 6(1), 22–32. https://doi.org/10.17645/pag.v6i1.1188

Grzywacz, A. (2020). Democracy in Indonesian strategic narratives. A new framework of coherence analysis. Journal of Current Southeast Asian Affairs, 39(2), 250–269. https://doi.org/10.1177/1868103420903594/ASSET/1FC60D00-2648-4FDD-A34C-B03885238FC5/ASSETS/IMAGES/LARGE/10.1177_1868103420903594-FIG2.JPG

Habermas, J. (1998). Between facts and norms: An author’s reflections. Denver University Law Review, 76.https://heinonline.org/HOL/Page?handle=hein.journals/denlr76&id=957&div=&collection=

Huntington, S. P. (1991). Democracy’s third wave. Journal of Democracy, 2(2). https://doi.org/10.1353/jod.1991.0016

Hutasoit, K., Gusfa, H., & Mulyana, A. (2020). Effect of new media on political participation in the border area of the Republic of Indonesia-The Democratic Republic of East Timor. Proceedings of the Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Social Sciences, ICSS 2019, 5-6 November 2019, Jakarta, Indonesia. https://doi.org/10.4108/eai.5-11-2019.2292496

Ilmar, A. (2018). Demokrasi Terpimpin dalam Pemikiran dan Praktik Politik. Jurnal Polinter, 4(1), 1–18.

Indonesia: Freedom in the World 2022 Country Report. (2022).

Labucay, I. D. (2016). Gender equality in political empowerment in Southeast Asia (115). www.asianbarometer.org

Levitsky, S., & Ziblatt, D. (2018). How democracies die. Crown.

Logan, C., & Mattes, R. (2010). Democratizing the measurement of democratic quality:Public attitude data and the evaluation of african political regimes (123).

Merkle, O. (2022). Anti-corruption and gender: The role of women’s political participation. WFD.

O’Donell, G. A. (1994). Delegative democracy. Journal of Democracy, 5(1), 55–69. https://doi.org/10.1353/jod.1994.0010

Parinduri, R. A. (2019). Does education increase political participation? Evidence from Indonesia. Education Economics, 27(6), 645–657. https://doi.org/10.1080/09645292.2019.1668914

Parvin, P. (2018). Democracy without participation: A new politics for a disengaged era. Res Publica, 24(1), 31–52. https://doi.org/10.1007/S11158-017-9382-1/METRICS

Paulis, E., & Pospieszna, P. (2025). Deliberative mini-publics as learning schools for democracy? Examining deliberation impact on dissatisfied and radical participants of a citizens’ assembly in Poland. Democratization, 32(4), 888–911. https://doi.org/10.1080/13510347.2024.2422508

Sahrasad, H. (2017). Soeharto’s New Order, press and society in tensio: A social reflection. JICSA, 06(02), 332–385.

Saud, M., & Margono, H. (2021). Indonesia’s rise in digital democracy and youth’s political participation. Journal of Information Technology &Politics, 1–12. https://doi.org/10.1080/19331681.2021.1900019

Schumpeter, J. A. (1942). Capitalism, socialism, and democracy. https://papers.ssrn.com/abstract=1496200

Stake, R. E. (1995). The art of case study research. Sage Publications, Inc. https://psycnet.apa.org/record/1995-97834-000

Sudrajat, A. (2016). Demokrasi Pancasila dalam perspektif sejarah. MOZAIK: Jurnal Ilmu-Ilmu Sosial Dan Humaniora, 8(1), 1–17. https://doi.org/10.21831/moz.v8i1.10763

Sugiyanto;, & Rofi’i, A. (2018). Prevention of radicalism and terrorism in Indonesia through law enforcement in terrorism law. Central European Journal of International & Security Studies, 12(4), 16–34.

Venter, F. (2023). Consulting citizens: Addressing the deficits in participatory democracy. South African Journal on Human Rights, 39(4), 251–273. https://doi.org/10.1080/02587203.2024.2387855

Wang, Z., & Ye, L. (2017). Political participation in East Asia. In T. Cheng & Y. Chu (Eds.), Routledge Handbook of Democratization in East Asia (1st ed., pp. 251–268). Taylor and Francis. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315733869-15/POLITICAL-PARTICIPATION-EAST-ASIA-ZHENGXU-WANG-LEIHUA-YE

Warburton, E., & Aspinall, E. (2018). Explaining Indonesia’s democratic regression: Structure, agency and popular opinion. Contemporary Southeast Asia, 41(2), 255–285. https://doi.org/10.1355/cs41-2k

Wijaya, A. (2014). Demokrasi dalam sejarah ketatanegaraan Republik Indonesia. Al-Daulah: Jurnal Hukum Dan Perundangan Islam, 4(01), 136–158. https://doi.org/10.15642/ad.2014.4.01.136-158

Wijaya, T. I. (2020). Peran manipulasi informasi terhadap keikutsertaan perempuan dalam gerakan terorisme. Journal of Terrorism Studies, 4(2), 94-113. https://doi.org/10.7454/jts.v2i1.1019

Zakaria, F. (1997). The rise of liberal democracy. Foreign Affairs. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/world/rise-illiberal-democracy

Zoelva, H. (2022). The development of Islam and democracy in Indonesia. Constitutional Review, 8(1), 37–61. https://doi.org/10.31078/consrev812

 

Downloads

Published

2026-04-02

How to Cite

Paryanto, P., Bachtiar, H., Faisal, F., & Tenorio, C. B. (2026). Democratic regression and the rise of electoral illiberalism in Indonesia: A multi-dimensional analysis (1998-2024). Jurnal Civics: Media Kajian Kewarganegaraan, 23(1), 286–300. https://doi.org/10.21831/jc.v23i1.94824

Issue

Section

Original Research Article

Citation Check